Beyond Labels

A 360° Discussion of Foreign, National and Local Policy Issues

Scott Miller

Dec. 12: The 2024 Presidential Election

With Donald Trump a declared candidate and Joe Biden (or at least Jill) heavily signaling that he will run again, we’ll discuss those prospective candidates and, more generally, presidential candidacy:

  • Will Biden run again?
    • If so, how would that affect other 2024 down-ballot candidates?
    • Will anyone (with stature) run against him in the primaries?
    • How should we interpret his proposal to reconfigure the primary calendar?
  • How will Trump’s candidacy play out?
    • Can another Republican (DeSantis, others) beat him?
    • If you were political advisor to, say DeSantis, how would you advise him to run his campaign?
  • What do we want in a president?
    • A technocrat who knows how to “get things done” in office? (Is “getting things done” more important than what gets done?)
    • A popular personality with lots of name recognition, backed (hopefully) by staff who know how to get things done within government?
    • In terms of government background:
      • A current or former governor (with executive experience)?
      • A senator (or representative) with legislative experience?
      • Someone from outside the D.C. “cocoon” who may have a better handle on the issues and priorities of regular people?

Should be interesting…

Dec. 5: All things China

With a fair amount of recent news relating to China, we plan to engage in a “survey” discussion of China. For example:

  • Chinese protests. Do the recent protests against the Chinese government’s “zero Covid” policies pose a real risk to the government? In some quarters, the basis for the protests seems to have grown from anti-Covid-lockdowns to free speech.
    • Will the protests continue to grow?
    • Will the government’s relaxation of lockdowns in some cities encourage others to try the same protest strategy?
    • Will the response be more carrot (relaxed lockdowns) or stick (references to Tiananmen Square)?
  • Trade with China. With both the U.S. and, maybe, Europe becoming more concerned with China’s tendency to autocracy, treatment of the Uighurs, and aggressive commercial/trade stance, will it matter?
    • Will trade with China decline (or at least level off)?
    • Or will short-term economics continue to drive increasing trade with a blind eye to these other factors?
  • Taiwan. Is Chinese action on Taiwan imminent (within the expected duration of Xi’s presidency)?
    • How aggressively should the U.S. and its allies (both in Asia and Europe) prepare for this possibility (or take action to dissuade China from doing so?
  • Russia. Should we be concerned about closer Sino-Russian relationships aligned against “Western values?”
    • Or has Russia’s seemingly poor performance in Ukraine weakened the strength of any such bond?

I’m sure there will plenty of “grist for the mill” and discussion. As an aside, I’ll be joining quite late on Monday. So don’t wait for me!

November 28: Money and Education

At last week’s session, one of our participants suggested that we discuss when throwing money at a problem can and cannot work. (He put it more eloquently.)

So we decided to try it out on education in the U.S.

  • Is this a case where more money can solve the issues with lackluster educational performance? Or is performance driven primarily by other factors?
  • If more money can make a big difference, how should it be spent? Teachers, school buildings, tutoring, class materials, extracurriculars? All of the above?
  • What other societal factors are holding us back? (There is a lot of anecdotal discussion about the social safety net and kids “ready to learn.”)
  • How can the charter school (public and private) experience and track record inform our discussion?
  • What is the goal of a U.S. education? The three R’s? Civics? Vocational training? College prep? Everything to everyone?
    • With a wide range of goals, how do we define, and then measure, “excellence?”
    • And will more clarity of definition and measurement motivate educators to “teach to the test?” Is that what we want?

This is a subject with a lot of anecdotes. But there have also been quite a few studies examining many of these questions. I encourage participants to spend a bit of time looking for research on the subject.

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